Wednesday, October 26, 2011

West Virginia Up Against Big 12 Competition


I've been impressed with West Virginia football for a long time.  I think there have been years that the Mountaineers would have performed quite well in the Big 12.  But this year is not one of them.  The competition in the Big 12 is absolutely fierce in 2011-2012.  All of the computer ratings systems favor the Big 12 as the #1 conference this year.  Now granted, each college football season is vastly different.  But this is how my algorithms predict that WVU would perform against the Big 12 right now, if we assume all games were played on neutral turf:

Conference Simulation: West Virginia vs Big 12

Anyone agree?  Disagree?  Post your comments

Thursday, October 20, 2011

Conference Expansion Online Simulator


Ever wonder how your favorite college football team would perform against the teams in another conference? For instance, how would a D2 team perform if moved up to an FCS conference? Or an FCS team in one of the FBS conferences? How about an FBS team moving to a different FBS conference? With all the talk of conference expansions and "Power" conferences, that seems to be the hot topic of the 2011-2012 season.

I’ve developed a tool which I think is useful in determining just how well a team could show up at the next level, or against a tougher conference in the same division. Let’s take a couple of examples.

Georgia Southern is currently undefeated at 6-0 and is ranked #2 in my Week 7 FCS rankings. How well do you think Georgia Southern could perform in the ACC or Big East? I think you'd be surprised! Check out the following link:

Conference Simulations: Georgia Southern vs ACC

Now granted, a 3-9 record isn't too impressive on the surface, especially for a program that's used to winning at their level. But when you think about the possibility of adding scholarships and higher caliber players, it definitely makes you think!

Let's look at another. What about Texas A&M moving to the SEC? Well, all things held equal, this will give you a pretty good idea of how A&M's season might turn out:

Conference Simulations: Texas A&M vs SEC

Not a very high probability of taking out the SEC's top two teams (LSU and Bama), but A&M would certainly be a great addition to the SEC on paper.

_______________


These simulations are based on advanced mathematical formulas. They do not take into account injuries, personnel changes, or number of scholarships. They are based on how teams are performing right now, and they’re updated every Monday throughout the football season.

I hope you will find this tool useful and, if nothing else, fun to tinker with. You can compare any FBS, FCS, D2, D3, or NAIA team against any conference. You can also play around with College Basketball and NFL moves. Other sports will be added later. Please feel free share the main link with your friends:

Conference Expansion Online Simulator

As always, I’m eager to hear your feedback and ideas for improvement. There are a number of ways to reach me, so choose a path. You can email me, post on my Facebook page, or Tweet at me (links below). So please don’t hesitate to reach out if you have something on your mind. I sincerely value the friendships and partnerships I’ve been able to develop over the years!

Enjoy the rest of the football season!


Website: http://www.compughterratings.com/

Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/CompughterRatings

Twitter: http://twitter.com/steve__pugh