Friday, April 6, 2012

"Dancing With the Stars" Power Rankings - Week 3

Here are my first ever Dancing With the Stars (DWS) power rankings.

DWS Rankings - Powered by CompughterRatings.com

Rank
Contestant
Rating
Status
1
Katherine & Mark
100.000
Alive
2
William & Cheryl
99.268
Alive
3
Maria & Derek
96.881
Alive
4
Jaleel & Kym
96.389
Alive
5
Donald & Peta
96.290
Alive
6
Sherri & Val
94.555
Alive
7
Roshon & Chelsie
94.097
Alive
8
Gladys & Tristan
93.686
Alive
9
Melissa & Maks
75.194
Alive
10
Gavin & Karina
75.168
Alive
11
Jack & Anna
67.762
Eliminated
12
Martina & Tony
61.023
Eliminated

Thursday, April 5, 2012

American Idol Season 11 Rankings - Week 5


American Idol 2012 Contestant Rankings - Powered by CompughterRatings.com


Week 5 of American Idol 2012 is now in the books. With DeAndre’s departure, which I accurately predicted a week ago, we are now down to 7 contestants. Colton Dixon was the big mover this week, up 3 spots to #3 in the overall rankings, following his unique version of Cindy Lauper’s “Time After Time”. Joshua Ledet takes over the top spot, which I think most of us saw coming. He is bar none the most consistent performer on this year’s show. Does anyone think he sounds a little bit like Seal, with a more soulful sound?

Skylar Laine’s performance was much better this week, but with only 7 contestants left in the competition, she ends up ranked at the bottom of those still alive. I tweaked the algorithm last week to make the more recent shows “count” more, meaning that performing better or worse later in the season has a more dramatic impact on a performer’s overall rating. So I’m actually surprised to see Skylar in that position this week. It may be that she is still being dragged down by last week’s performance.

I started making predictions about who will be eliminated two weeks ago and so far my record is 2-0. I accurately predicted the departure of both Heejun and DeAndre. We’ll see if I’m right this coming week. Based on my “Compughter” rankings below, I’m predicting Skylar Laine, Hollie Cavanagh, and Elise Testone to be next week’s bottom 3. Note that I actually have Elise ranked ahead of Phillip, but my gut tells me (based on all of Phillip’s screaming fans) that Phillip will outlast Elise. So I am NOT predicting Phillip to be in the bottom 3 next week.

Right now, the “Compughter” predicts Skylar will go home next week. But, despite my own algorithm, I’m going to predict that Elise will be packing it up.

What do YOU think?

Rank

Rank

Contestant

Rating

Status

Movement

1

Joshua Ledet

100.000

Alive

+1

2

Jessica Sanchez

98.397

Alive

-1

3

Colton Dixon

96.503

Alive

+3

4

Elise Testone

96.199

Alive

-1

5

Phillip Phillips

95.862

Alive

-1

6

Hollie Cavanagh

95.785

Alive

-1

7

Skylar Laine

93.949

Alive

+1

8

DeAndre Brackensick

78.857

Eliminated

-1

9

Erika Van Pelt

70.616

Eliminated

 

10

Heejun Han

70.600

Eliminated

 

11

Shannon Magrane

65.785

Eliminated

 

12

Jeremy Rosado

60.744

Eliminated

 

13

Jermaine Jones

60.000

Eliminated

 

 

Friday, March 30, 2012

American Idol Season 11 Contestant Rankings - Week 4

American Idol 2012 Contestant Rankings - Powered by CompughterRatings.com
Welcome to the second installment of American Idol 2012 rankings, powered by CompughterRatings.com. The Week 4 shows have come and gone and we are now down to 8 contestants. As predicted last week, Heejun Han was sent packing tonight on the live show. This week’s contestant rankings are posted below.


Rank
Contestant
Rating
Status
Movement
1
100.000
Alive
+1
2
99.989
Alive
+2
3
96.171
Alive
+4
4
96.168
Alive
+1
5
94.362
Alive
-3
6
90.962
Alive

7
90.915
Alive
+1
8
90.839
Alive
-5
9
87.727
Eliminated

10
87.652
Eliminated

11
72.824
Eliminated

12
62.004
Eliminated

13
60.000
Eliminated



Elise Testone was the biggest upward mover, jumping 4 spots to #3 overall. Personally, I thought her rendition of Led Zepplin’s “Whole Lotta Love” was the most entertaining number of the show, so I’m glad to see Elise moving back up. Skylar Laine was our biggest mover overall, dropping 5 spots to #8. After seeing Miranda Lambert live in concert just a couple of months ago, I thought Skylar’s version of “Gunpowder and Lead” was decent, but it apparently didn’t impress the voters as she ended up in the bottom 3 this week.

For this coming week, I expect to see Skylar Laine and DeAndre Brackensick in the bottom 3. According to my rankings, Colton Dixon would also be in the bottom 3, but if he delivers another knock-out performance this week then I just don’t see that happening. He’s awesome, but he’s also up against some really stiff competition.

So my prediction this week is a tough one. I like Skylar better than DeAndre personally, but my “Compughter” algorithm has Skylar ranked slightly lower. I’m going to have to go with my gut on this one and predict that DeAndre goes home next week.

If you like these rankings, please share. If you don’t, jump on my Facebook page and let me hear about it.  But beware: Critics are welcome, but name callers get banned.  No exceptions.  Just ask David Archuleta's brother!

Happy Friday, everyone!

Sunday, March 25, 2012

American Idol Season 11 Contestant Rankings - Week 3

American Idol Season 11 Contestant Rankings - Powered by CompughterRatings.com


With football season light years away and NCAA Basketball already down to the Final Four, I got a little bored and decided that it’s time to apply some math to something a bit different. Something non-sports related. I’ve always loved music and singing, although I’m not much of a singer myself. So I figured, “Why not give American Idol a try?” No, I’m not talking about trying out for the show. I’m too old for that. But I am going to take a stab at ranking the American Idol contestants this year. I’ve been messing around with an algorithm for a few weeks and when it rightly predicted two of the first three to be sent home, I thought I might as well share it with the general public. So here goes. I’m only going to post these rankings in my blog each week, not on the website. So keep checking back each week!

Below are the Season 11 American Idol Contestant Rankings for Week 3. As of right now, it looks like Hollie and Jessica are the most probable pair to compete against each other in this year's finale. I'm predicting the "Bottom 3" this week to be Elise, DeAndre, and Heejun. Most likely to exit the program during Week 4 is Heejun.

Don’t forget to hit me up on Facebook and leave some comments if you’ve got something to say!

Rank
Contestant
Rating
Status
1
100.000
Alive
2
99.989
Alive
3
96.171
Alive
4
96.168
Alive
5
94.362
Alive
6
90.962
Alive
7
90.915
Alive
8
90.839
Alive
9
87.727
Eliminated
10
87.652
Alive
11
72.824
Eliminated
12
62.004
Eliminated
13
60.000
Eliminated

Sunday, February 26, 2012

Interview on TribLIVE SportsTalk Radio


Below I've posted the recorded audio from my interview on Michael Grau's show on TribLIVE SportsTalk Radio Pittsburgh (recorded 12/9/2011):




Thursday, January 12, 2012

CompughterRatings.com Named Most Accurate Preseason College Football Publication

CompughterRatings.com was named the #1 most accurate preseason college football publication for the second time in three years. Stassen.com, a renowned online publication specializing in the measurement of preseason publications since 1993, awarded top place honors to CompughterRatings.com ahead of GamePlan, Phil Steele, Lindy's, Athlon Sports, USA Today, ESPN, and several other well known publications.

CompughterRatings.com is also the reigning 3-year accuracy winner, followed by Game Plan, USA Today, Phil Steele, Athlon Sports, and Lindy’s: Preseason Prediction Accuracy (2009-2011) - Stassen.com.

Steve Pugh with Virginia Tech Head Coach Frank Beamer
View full story




Wednesday, October 26, 2011

West Virginia Up Against Big 12 Competition


I've been impressed with West Virginia football for a long time.  I think there have been years that the Mountaineers would have performed quite well in the Big 12.  But this year is not one of them.  The competition in the Big 12 is absolutely fierce in 2011-2012.  All of the computer ratings systems favor the Big 12 as the #1 conference this year.  Now granted, each college football season is vastly different.  But this is how my algorithms predict that WVU would perform against the Big 12 right now, if we assume all games were played on neutral turf:

Conference Simulation: West Virginia vs Big 12

Anyone agree?  Disagree?  Post your comments